Bangor vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
3 - 1
DUN
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
4 - 2
DON
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
4 - 0
BFC
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 3
ARD
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
CLI
4 - 3
BAN
70%
18%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
CRU
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
6 - 0
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
CRU
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
6 - 0
NEY
87%
9%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
80%
14%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +1 |