Bangor vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
65.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CSF
5 - 3
BAN
31%
22%
47%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
BAN
0 - 2
LIS
34%
23%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 1
DOL
48%
22%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BAN
4 - 2
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
BAN
0 - 0
BAL
30%
22%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CLI
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
INS
0 - 2
CAR
35%
26%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAR
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
MOY
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |