Bangor vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAN
35%
25%
41%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 1
LIN
21%
21%
58%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 3
RFC
56%
19%
26%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
MOY
75%
15%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GLE
4 - 1
BAN
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ARD
1 - 3
NEY
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
COL
4 - 0
ARD
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
ARD
37%
22%
41%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
GLE
6 - 3
ARD
67%
17%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 4
ARD
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |