Bangor City vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CON
2 - 6
BAN
21%
22%
58%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
BAN
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
LLA
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
6 - 1
BAN
20%
21%
59%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
BAN
5 - 0
BAL
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TNS
0 - 1
NEW
83%
12%
6%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 4
PRE
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
4 - 5
LID
55%
21%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |