League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-6
Bangor City vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
BAN
18%
22%
61%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 1
BAN
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
PRE
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 5
BAN
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
BAN
5 - 3
PRE
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
LID
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
PRE
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 4
AIR
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 1
NEW
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
TNS
5 - 0
NEW
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | -1 |