Bangor City vs Neath Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 3
BAN
24%
23%
54%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PRE
1 - 2
BAN
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
5 - 3
HAV
81%
13%
7%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
TNS
2 - 2
BAN
57%
22%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
BAN
11%
19%
70%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 4
LLA
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
NEA
2 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
ABE
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NEA
2 - 1
PRE
52%
23%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
LLA
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |