Bangor City vs Holyhead Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BAN
3 - 0
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 0
RTW
79%
14%
8%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 0
CON
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 2
BAN
30%
23%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
BAN
7%
15%
78%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 0
LLA
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HOL
0 - 3
BUC
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HOL
4 - 2
MGT
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 7 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HOL
3 - 0
HOL
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
HOL
1 - 2
RTW
23%
23%
55%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |