Bangor City vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ABE
2 - 3
BAN
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
BAN
5 - 2
DEN
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 0
PRE
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
BAN
28%
25%
48%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
CAR
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 1
CON
14%
19%
67%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 0
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |