Bangor City vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
BAN
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 1
CAE
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 4
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
LLA
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 0
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 3
CON
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
HAV
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |