Bangor City vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CON
6 - 1
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -4 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
TNS
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAN
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 2
BAL
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CEF
3 - 1
BAL
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
CEF
0 - 2
BAN
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |