Bangor City vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
PRE
4 - 2
BAN
24%
23%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 3
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 1
BAN
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
BAN
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
8%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 3
CEF
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
NEW
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
CEF
3 - 0
BAL
25%
24%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |