Bangor City vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAN
3 - 0
CON
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 3
BAN
57%
22%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 2
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
BAN
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
POR
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
CEF
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 2
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 1
CEF
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 4
TNS
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |