Bangor City vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAN
5 - 2
HAV
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RHY
3 - 4
BAN
35%
25%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 0
ABE
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
HAV
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 3
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
RHY
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |