Bangor City vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
BAN
4 - 1
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
BAN
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 1
AIR
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 4
BAN
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 2
ABE
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 5
CAR
22%
21%
57%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
LID
2 - 2
CAR
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 4
CAR
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 4
BAN
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |