Bangor City vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
2.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 4
BAN
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
AIR
85%
11%
5%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
BAN
8%
17%
75%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
BAN
15%
21%
65%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEA
58%
22%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
NEA
21%
24%
56%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAR
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRE
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |