Bangor City vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 3
TNS
50%
23%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
BRY
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 0
BAL
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
TNS
9 - 0
BAN
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
NEA
1 - 2
BAN
24%
24%
53%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GOY
2 - 3
CAR
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
AIR
2 - 4
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
ABE
2 - 2
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAL
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |