Bangor City vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
HOL
1 - 4
BAN
9%
18%
72%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
BAN
5 - 0
DEN
80%
14%
7%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
BUC
0 - 2
BAN
11%
19%
70%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BAN
0 - 2
GUI
81%
12%
6%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
BAN
22%
23%
54%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CAE
3 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAE
28%
24%
47%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CAE
3 - 3
LLA
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAE
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |