Bangor City vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 4
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 1
BAN
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAN
4 - 3
RHY
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 3
BAN
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FLI
0 - 1
CAE
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 0
CON
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
DEN
1 - 2
CAE
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 4
PRE
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |