Bangor City vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
11%
19%
70%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAN
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 1
LID
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 3
BAN
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAN
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 4
BAL
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
PRE
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LID
1 - 0
BAL
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
AIR
56%
23%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |