Bangor City vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 0
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
CON
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
COL
3 - 2
BAN
8%
17%
75%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
RHY
3 - 1
ABE
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
ABE
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 1
ABE
53%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TNS
2 - 1
ABE
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
LID
0 - 1
ABE
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |