Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
LAO
2 - 2
BGD
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
BTN
3 - 1
BGD
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BGD
0 - 0
BTN
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
MDV
5 - 0
BGD
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
BGD
0 - 1
TJK
10%
18%
72%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
LKA
0 - 2
LTU
11%
20%
70%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
LKA
1 - 1
MAC
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MNG
2 - 0
LKA
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
LKA
1 - 2
LAO
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
KHM
4 - 0
LKA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |