Bangladesh vs Pakistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BGD
2 - 0
LBN
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
4 - 0
BGD
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAK
0 - 0
BGD
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
BGD
3 - 0
PAK
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BGD
0 - 3
PHL
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAK
0 - 0
BGD
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
BGD
3 - 0
PAK
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
TWN
0 - 2
PAK
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
PAK
1 - 3
IND
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
TKM
3 - 0
PAK
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |