Bangladesh vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
MDV
2 - 0
BGD
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
BGD
1 - 1
IND
12%
20%
68%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 1
BGD
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
KGZ
4 - 1
BGD
78%
15%
6%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PLE
2 - 0
BGD
80%
15%
5%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NPL
0 - 1
IND
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
2 - 3
NPL
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 0
MDV
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
2 - 7
OMA
5%
17%
78%
|
36 | 78 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 2
IND
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |