Bangladesh vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
MDV
2 - 0
BGD
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
LKA
2 - 1
BGD
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BGD
2 - 1
MDV
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
BGD
1 - 1
SYC
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
BGD
1 - 1
NPL
34%
26%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
LAO
1 - 0
MNG
29%
20%
51%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
KGZ
0 - 1
MNG
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MNG
0 - 14
JPN
5%
14%
81%
|
27 | 87 | 60 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
TJK
3 - 0
MNG
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MMR
1 - 0
MNG
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |