Bangladesh vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
BGD
1 - 2
MMR
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BGD
1 - 0
KHM
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
BGD
0 - 2
IDN
12%
18%
69%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
MMR
0 - 0
BGD
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MMR
1 - 0
BGD
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
KHM
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MMR
4 - 0
MAC
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
MNG
3 - 1
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
MNG
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
2 - 2
MAC
19%
20%
60%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |