Bangladesh vs Maldives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
4 - 0
BGD
59%
22%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
BGD
0 - 4
AUS
8%
19%
73%
|
40 | 86 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TJK
5 - 0
BGD
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
KGZ
2 - 0
BGD
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
BGD
0 - 4
JOR
8%
18%
73%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
MDV
3 - 1
BTN
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
MDV
0 - 1
HKG
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
QAT
4 - 0
MDV
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
BTN
3 - 4
MDV
18%
21%
61%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
MDV
0 - 3
CHN
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | -1 |