WC Qual. Asia 2da Ronda Final
Global 2-4
Bangladesh vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
4 - 0
BGD
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAK
0 - 0
BGD
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
BGD
3 - 0
PAK
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BGD
0 - 3
PHL
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
BGD
2 - 0
MMR
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
4 - 0
BGD
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UAE
6 - 2
LBN
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
0 - 1
OMA
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
0 - 6
KWT
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
SYR
4 - 0
LBN
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |