Bangladesh vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BGD
0 - 0
AFG
19%
21%
59%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
KWT
1 - 0
BGD
90%
8%
2%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 3
BGD
15%
22%
63%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BGD
3 - 1
MDV
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
2 - 0
BGD
86%
11%
3%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BGD
0 - 0
AFG
19%
21%
59%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
AFG
2 - 2
KHM
72%
17%
10%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
AFG
1 - 2
IND
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
HKG
2 - 1
AFG
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
VNM
2 - 0
AFG
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |