Bangladesh vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NPL
0 - 0
BGD
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
QAT
5 - 0
BGD
89%
9%
2%
|
35 | 83 | 48 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BGD
0 - 0
NPL
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
BGD
2 - 0
NPL
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
OMA
4 - 1
BGD
84%
13%
3%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
SGP
1 - 1
AFG
58%
20%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
IDN
2 - 3
AFG
64%
18%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
AFG
0 - 1
QAT
7%
16%
77%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
AFG
1 - 1
IND
22%
21%
58%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
OMA
3 - 0
AFG
86%
11%
3%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |