Bangladesh Police vs Mohammedan Dhaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
9º
4º
35
2º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SHR
0 - 1
BPF
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BPF
0 - 1
SHJ
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
RAH
2 - 2
BPF
26%
22%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BPF
2 - 0
ACH
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 3
BPF
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mohammedan Dhaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
MDH
2 - 1
ACH
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 5
MDH
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
MDH
1 - 1
SHR
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
MDH
19%
21%
61%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MDH
3 - 1
RAH
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |