Bangladesh Police vs Fortis FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+98%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
6º
3º
23
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Challenge League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
UTT
0 - 7
BPF
7%
15%
79%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BPF
2 - 1
BAS
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ABA
4 - 1
BPF
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BPF
1 - 2
SHJ
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MDH
1 - 1
BPF
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortis FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
MUK
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RAH
1 - 1
FOR
76%
15%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
UTT
71%
16%
12%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
4 - 1
FOR
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 2
ABA
6%
11%
83%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |