Bangladesh Police vs Arambagh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
SHJ
2 - 1
BPF
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
BPF
3 - 1
MUK
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
ACH
4 - 1
BPF
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
BPF
1 - 1
MDH
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
RAH
1 - 1
BPF
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arambagh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
UBS
41%
23%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
BAS
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
ABA
6 - 1
ARA
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 3
SHR
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
SAI
4 - 3
ARA
71%
16%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |