Bangladesh Police vs Abahani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
9º
4º
32
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAH
0 - 0
BPF
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BPF
2 - 3
MDH
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SHR
0 - 1
BPF
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BPF
0 - 1
SHJ
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
RAH
2 - 2
BPF
26%
22%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Abahani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 3
ABA
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
ABA
0 - 2
BAS
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ABA
3 - 1
SHR
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
ABA
6 - 0
BRO
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SHJ
0 - 1
ABA
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |