Bangladesh Police vs Abahani Chittagong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
6º
3º
21
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Challenge League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MUK
0 - 1
BPF
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BPF
2 - 0
RAH
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
BPF
9%
16%
75%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BPF
0 - 1
SHR
30%
23%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BPF
4 - 0
UTT
90%
8%
2%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Abahani Chittagong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 0
MUK
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RAH
1 - 0
ACH
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
ACH
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
UTT
1 - 1
ACH
5%
12%
83%
|
22 | 5 | 17 | -1 |