S-Cup Last 16
Global 6-4
BG Pathum United vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BG Pathum United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 3
BAN
20%
21%
59%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BAN
4 - 0
BAN
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
TTM
0 - 0
BAN
37%
27%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 3
BUR
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 0
CHO
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 3
BAN
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SGC
0 - 4
SOU
28%
26%
45%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
OAK
0 - 1
SOU
38%
25%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 2
RIC
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 2
HUM
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |