Banga vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
10º
6º
87
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIE
4 - 0
BAN
77%
15%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 1
FKT
22%
21%
58%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 0
BAN
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 3
BAN
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
FKJ
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
4 - 1
NEV
77%
15%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
FAS
53%
23%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
PAN
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
PAN
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |