La Bañeza vs CD Villa de Simancas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Bañeza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
4 - 0
BAÑ
38%
25%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BAÑ
1 - 2
CDL
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
0 - 2
BAÑ
48%
24%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAÑ
2 - 1
CFS
63%
21%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAÑ
3 - 2
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CDV
1 - 0
VIL
13%
19%
68%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CIU
2 - 1
CDV
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CIS
2 - 0
CDV
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDV
3 - 4
CDO
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |