Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-2
FC Urartu vs Siroki Brijeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Urartu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
KIL
0 - 2
BAN
18%
23%
60%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 3
ULI
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 2
MIK
56%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
ARA
0 - 3
BAN
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BAN
5 - 1
SHI
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
POS
1 - 2
SIR
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SIR
3 - 1
ZEL
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
LAK
2 - 1
SIR
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SIR
2 - 1
MOD
46%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
VEL
3 - 0
SIR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |