Bamio vs Moraña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bamio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 2
BAM
31%
22%
48%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAM
2 - 0
LIB
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAM
1 - 4
POI
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 4
BAM
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BAM
7 - 1
ROM
58%
19%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
POI
58%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 2
MOR
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 2
ROM
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
POR
0 - 3
MOR
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
5 - 0
BEI
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |