Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HIB
4 - 0
BAL
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 2
FLO
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 5
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
MOS
42%
23%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BIR
0 - 0
BAL
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ZEJ
1 - 0
ZAB
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SIR
0 - 3
ZAB
57%
22%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
HAM
2 - 0
ZAB
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ZAB
3 - 0
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SEN
2 - 4
ZAB
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |