Balzan FC vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
BIR
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 2
BAL
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
FLO
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 1
BAL
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
GZI
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 0
HIB
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 1
NAX
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAX
4 - 0
SLU
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
GZI
1 - 1
NAX
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 4
HAM
18%
25%
57%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |