Balzan FC vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SLI
1 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 1
SAI
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
NAX
0 - 0
BAL
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
HIB
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
GUD
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NAX
0 - 1
VAL
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
SLI
1 - 1
NAX
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
NAX
0 - 0
BAL
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 1
NAX
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NAX
3 - 1
FLO
23%
23%
53%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +2 |