Balzan FC vs Gzira United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
RAB
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 4
BAL
43%
25%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
QOR
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
MOS
2 - 0
BAL
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 4
TAR
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gzira United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GZI
4 - 0
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
GZI
0 - 0
ZEJ
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GZI
1 - 1
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DIN
1 - 1
GZI
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GZI
1 - 0
VIC
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |