Balzan FC vs Floriana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
SLI
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
MQA
2 - 2
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ZEJ
1 - 2
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 2
HIB
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
MOS
1 - 0
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Floriana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FLO
2 - 1
QOR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 4
FLO
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LUQ
1 - 6
FLO
6%
16%
78%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FLO
4 - 2
HAM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SLI
0 - 0
FLO
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |