Balzan FC vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 0
BAL
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HIB
3 - 0
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 3
FLO
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 1
BAL
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
BIR
4 - 0
MEL
66%
21%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
MET
0 - 0
BIR
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
MET
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 0
BAL
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 4
BIR
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |