Baltika Kaliningrad vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
SKA
1 - 1
BAL
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 4
FCK
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 2
BAL
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 2
OLY
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SIB
2 - 1
BAL
36%
30%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
ZEN
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
MOR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
KHI
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FAK
1 - 2
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
SPA
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |