Baltika Kaliningrad vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 1
KUB
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ZIR
1 - 2
BAL
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
SKA
0 - 0
BAL
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 0
FCR
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
BAL
3 - 0
DIN
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 0
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 0
DIN
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 1
MET
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
SIB
0 - 0
CHE
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
URA
2 - 0
CHE
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |