Baltika Kaliningrad vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
12º
4º
23
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
21 | 63 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 61 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
23 | 59 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 56 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 54 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 53 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 51 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 47 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 46 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 45 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 44 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 40 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 38 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 36 |
15º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 35 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 33 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 31 |
18º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
26.5% | 28% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
BAL
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
TYU
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
YEN
1 - 2
BAL
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
KAM
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
2 - 0
BAL
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
URA
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
ARS
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
SKA
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TYU
0 - 0
ARS
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 0
ALA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |