BFA vs Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BFA
0 - 1
MIN
30%
20%
50%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
BFA
4 - 2
FKK
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BFA
0 - 2
ATM
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ATM
2 - 3
BFA
32%
21%
47%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BFA
1 - 2
FKK
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
ZAL
3 - 1
TRA
62%
19%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 4
ZAL
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
ATM
2 - 2
ZAL
34%
20%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ZAL
0 - 2
FKK
64%
17%
19%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BFA
2 - 1
ZAL
42%
21%
37%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |