BFA vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
PAK
2 - 3
BFA
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
BFA
1 - 2
FAS
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
BFA
5 - 3
ZAL
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 7
BFA
33%
21%
46%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
BFA
5 - 4
MIN
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 0
HLI
11%
18%
72%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ZAL
1 - 4
HLI
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
PAK
1 - 5
HLI
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
HLI
1 - 1
KUP
64%
19%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 1
HLI
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |